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BUNCH COUNT SUMMARY Allied's 2010 San Joaquin Valley bunch count summary is contained in the first table below. The second table shows the percent change from 2009. For each of the major varieties we have numerous sample ranches, and each ranch has numerous vines we sample. This bunch count summary includes the San Joaquin Valley from Lodi to Bakersfield and is broken into regions, as described below. Allied does not do bunch counts in the coastal regions due to the fact that most growers adjust their crop load significantly in those regions throughout the growing season to meet winery expectations for cropload and quality. For some of the varieties in certain districts we have entered "N/A". This means that either there are little to no grapes of that variety grown in that district or the data we gathered was categorized and presented in an alternative category. The following are average bunch counts per vine taken from various ranches in 2010.
In general, the 2010 bunch counts for winegrapes look similar to 2009 with variances that seem more region specific than variety specific. Specifically, Lodi and the northern valley seem to be down slightly from last year's crop (which was large in those regions), while the central and southern valley seem to be slightly stronger in counts, coming off of a year where the crop was just slightly above average. Keep in mind that although last year was a large crop statewide, the central and southern valley areas were only up a few percent from 2008 in total production. On the surface, 2010 bunch counts indicate that California may have a crop with good production potential. The stage may be set for a crop that could achieve average or better size in the interior, which may bode well for the supply-hungry lower-end of the wine market. Looking at specific varieties, Chardonnay counts appear strong for the second year in a row (It's a good thing consumption continues to grow at impressive rates). It appears that Zinfandel may experience a lighter crop in the north, where crops were huge last year, but potentially larger crops in the south. Syrah and Pinot Grigio look to be down after last year's huge crops, along with Ruby Cab, Petite Sirah and Rubired. Muscat seems consistent with last year, which is a blessing considering last year's good crop size and current demand for the product. French Colombard looks larger in the central and south valley, but Chenin Blanc counts are off. Finally, Cab and Merlot show mixed results depending on region and generic reds Barbera, Carignane and Grenache all seem to be up in the central and south valley......once again, a good thing considering current demand. But as we always say, bunch counts are only the first indication of potential crop size. There's a long way to go before harvest, and Mother Nature may have something to say before it's all said and done.
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